A Nuclear Iran?
This weblog tracks developments, reportage, commentary and scholarship on the Asia-Pacific region with a special emphasis on its implications for India. The title refers to our significant focus on China in this enterprise. It is sponsored by the M. L. Sondhi Institute of Asia-Pacific Affairs, New Delhi.
Andy Mukherjee of Bloomberg has some interesting comments on the topic of China's demographics, most notably that those figures are also suspect. It could be that the reports of China's aging are somewhat premature.
Parag Khanna and C. Raja Mohan competently survey the current state of play in the emerging Indo-US relationship. Selfishly, I am pleased to note that most of what I had to say on this topic in 2001 and 2002 (concluding remarks on the subcontinent) has stood the test of time. The ingredient that I missed, and which is yet to establish itself fully, is the convergence between Indian and Chinese growth rates which as reduced the pressure that India feels from China and generally given the Indian state greater room for maneuver.
Two recent pieces in Forbes detail the ongoing contest between the Falun Gong movement and the Chinese state. The Falun Gong have attempted to use the internet and international phone calls to bolster dissent against the CCP with some success - they claim credit for 7 million CCP members having renounced party membership. In response, the CCP appears to have extended a campaign of violent intimidation to the United States. The persecution of the Falun Gong illustrates, perhaps better than any other single fact, the limits to any propensity to political reform in China.
Mohan Malik argues that notwithstanding the recent hype about the improving Sino-Indian relations, “India-China ties remain fragile and as vulnerable as ever to a sudden deterioration. The combination of internal issues of stability and external overlapping spheres of influence forestall the chances for a genuine Sino-Indian rapprochement.” His entire piece can be found here.