Wednesday, April 12, 2006

A Nuclear Iran?

So the Iranians have finally mastered the nuclear fuel cycle at the laboratory level. Is it only a negotiating tactic to make it clear that Iran’s nuclear program cannot be touched or is it a step closer to Iran’s acquisition of nuclear weapons? What options does the US have? Military option has been a hot topic of debate after Seymour Hersh’s article but it is unlikely that a military strike will have the kind of effect the US government is hoping for. It might further accelerate Iran’s advance towards nuclear weapons. History suggests that once political elites in a state make a decision about pursuing nuclear weapons, there is very little the international community can do. The best alternative is to reconcile to limited Iranian uranium enrichment while making sure that effective mechanisms are in place to prevent cheating. All the huffing and puffing notwithstanding, the US and its European partners have little real leverage vis-à-vis Iran in the current global climate, especially as China and Russia are not willing to jeopardize their special relationships with Iran. A nuclear weapon Iran is not in India’s interest, given the complexities of Middle Eastern politics and India’s interests in the region. How far India would be willing to go if the US and its allies decide to get tough with Iran remains to be seen?

12 Comments:

Anonymous Kamla said...

The currrent International Political climate has an eerie been there, seen that feeling. Is the cold war politics coming back but with the players (in new avatars..no USSR, but there is Russia) re-configured on different lines? Or maybe really not...China and Russia appear to have a common ground on the Iran issue.

Kamla

May 30, 2006 1:35 PM  
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December 04, 2007 11:18 PM  
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May 24, 2008 12:45 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

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November 19, 2008 10:47 PM  
Blogger Rajeev R said...

I don't think India, would back out from supporting Iran. I don't see it happening now!

July 06, 2009 11:57 AM  
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April 03, 2010 12:17 PM  
Anonymous Sanskar said...

Nuclear Iran poses no threat to India, Infact we shared good relaion with Iran, but we kindof spoiled it by voting against them in IAEA. but still Iran never showed how it felt, though Iran has said if it will have nuclear weapon tht will be only against Israel, recently India launched Israeli spy satellite publicly, it is clear that Israel did so to spy on Iran. Iran has never showed its concerns. Relationship with US and Israel are very important I am not in anyway taking Iran's side, but we shouldn't spoil built relations

July 09, 2010 11:31 PM  

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